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2024-12-14 07:34:45

German authorities predict that the German economy will stagnate in 2025. On the 12th, local time, Kiel Institute for World Economics, one of the authoritative German economic research institutes, released a winter forecast, predicting that the German GDP will stagnate in 2025, neither increasing nor decreasing, which is 0.5% lower than the previous autumn forecast. Germany's GDP will shrink by 0.2% in 2024, compared with the previous autumn forecast of 0.1%. The agency believes that Germany's potential signs of weak economic growth are emerging, not only facing the foreseeable impact of the US tariff increase, but also the domestic industrial crisis is intensifying. (CCTV Finance)Institution: In the third quarter, the price and shipment of the large-capacity enterprise-level solid-state disk industry rose simultaneously. According to the latest survey of TrendForce Jibang Consulting, the strong demand for AI applications continued to drive the growth of the Enterprise SSD industry in the third quarter of 2024. As the supplier's shipment could not meet the market demand, the price rose, pushing up the overall revenue of the industry by nearly 30%. Due to the arrival of NVIDIA (NVIDIA) H series products, and the peak demand for Training AI Server, especially the strong demand for large-capacity products, the overall purchase order capacity increased by 15% quarter.The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.6%; Led by industrial and commercial stocks, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.6% to 20,072.69 in Hong Kong. In midday trading, industrial and commercial stocks led the market down, and all kinds of stocks fell; Of the 83 stocks, 75 fell and 7 rose. Meituan dragged down the index the most, falling by 2.8%. Budweiser Asia Pacific suffered the biggest decline, down 6.1%.


Today, there is a wave of daily limit in the two major outlets. "No bean bags, no AI." With the continuous fermentation of the concept of bean curd in A-shares, some investors shouted such a slogan. Bean bag+toys, bean bag+advertising and marketing, bean bag+data, bean bag+computing power, bean bag+headphones ... Haitian Ruisheng, Runxin Technology, Shengguang Group and other concept stocks have caused continuous market pursuit. This morning, the concept of bean curd became active again, and the AI application end and hardware end of bean curd rose together. Lexin Technology, Zhongke Lanxun, Juxin Technology and Hengxuan Technology, which are known as the "four little dragons" of end-side AI SOC (system on a chip), rose collectively in intraday trading. Runze Technology, a computing stock, rose more than 16%, and its share price reached a new high. In addition, this morning, the market paid more attention to the concept of starting economy, and the exhibition and IP economy sectors rose. The ground element fashion gap opened higher, and it didn't take long for the daily limit to open. The reason is that Shanghai Disu Fashion Co., Ltd. was listed in the "2023 Shanghai First Economic Leading Brand List" published at the end of last year. (CSI)More than eight members of parliament from South Korea's ruling party supported the impeachment of Yin Xiyue.India's NIFTY50 index fell 1% to 24,301.30 points, and India's SENSEX index fell 1% to 80,476.70 points.


In 2024, the actual overseas sales revenue of China's self-developed games is expected to be 18.557 billion US dollars, up 13.39% year-on-year. The Game Working Committee released the "Research Report on Games Going to Sea in China in 2024". In 2024, the global game market will be 1,216.335 billion yuan, up 3.31% year-on-year. The global mobile game market was 635.569 billion yuan, up 4.83% year-on-year. The growth trend of the global mobile game market has obviously slowed down. In 2024, the actual sales revenue of China's self-developed games in overseas markets is estimated to be $18.557 billion, up 13.39% year-on-year.Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.South Korea's stock market is bound to erase all the declines since the martial law storm, and South Korea's benchmark stock index will continue to rebound on Friday, which is bound to recover all the lost ground since the martial law storm. South Korea's Kospi index once rose by 0.7%, heading for four consecutive gains, erasing all the declines since December 3 in intraday trading. Late that night, South Korean President Yin Xiyue announced martial law and then hastily lifted it, shocking the world. Investors believe that South Korea's stock market has fallen too far recently, and expect that if Congress passes the second impeachment motion against Yin Xiyue over the weekend, the risk of political turmoil will be alleviated. Although Yin Xiyue refused to step down and vowed to fight to the end, there are more and more signs that some ruling party members may support the impeachment motion.

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